Sweetpea 2024 Presidential. Harris has been ahead of trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of july, as shown in the chart. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
This is the landing page for the 2024 silver bulletin presidential election forecast. Our prediction model shows the chances kamala harris and donald trump have of winning the contest to be.